Public Disclosure Document
CLARITY
A public wager on a bill that has not passed.
The industry has been promised regulatory clarity for eleven years. It has not arrived.
On 8 August 2026 the Senate adjourned without holding a final vote on the CLARITY Act. Members left Washington. They return on 14 September. Prediction markets currently price passage at 26 percent.
This token is a position on that date. It is not a company, a security offering, or a promise. It is a transparent, fully-disclosed wager — and the disclosure is the point.
Fig. I — Refraction. Engraved for this document; generated, not drawn.
The Senate reconvenes
Countdown to 14 September 2026.
Article III
The Odds
Published continuously, including — and especially — when unfavourable.
25.5%
▼ −5.0 pts · past 30 days
Implied probability of passage
Live · 20 Aug 2026 · 20:11 UTC
Market-implied probability of passage, read live from the Polymarket order book. This figure updates in both directions. A falling number is not removed from this page.
The reader's position
The book says 25.5%.
What do you say?
Move the line to your own probability of passage. Nothing is bought, connected, or recorded — this is a reading of your opinion against the market's.
50.0%
Your implied probability
You are 24.5 points more optimistic than the book.
This is an opinion tool, not a trade, a poll, or a price. Nothing you set here is stored, sent, or counted, and it does not change the market figure above.
Article I
The Bill
What the CLARITY Act would actually do, stated plainly and without advocacy.
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act divides jurisdiction over digital assets between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission — a boundary that has been contested by enforcement action rather than statute for the better part of a decade.
It establishes registration pathways for digital-asset exchanges, brokers and dealers, and defines when an asset is a security versus a commodity. It is the market-structure companion to the stablecoin framework enacted in 2025.
It passed the House of Representatives on 17 July 2025. It has not passed the Senate.
The current obstacles are a matter of public record: a dispute over language restricting federal officials from profiting from digital-asset businesses, and separate concerns raised by both parties regarding the bill's effect on local lending. The American Bankers Association has pressed for amendments on stablecoin yield.
We take no position on whether it should pass. We hold a position on whether it will.
Article II
The Record
100% fair launch. No presale. No private allocation.
100%
Fair launch
0
Presale · private allocation
45.47%
Bought on the open market · Donated to Trump
100%
Of project fees to Stand With Crypto
The dev bought 45.47% of the supply through the public market: a reference to Trump serving as the 45th and 47th President.
Both the 45.47% dev allocation and 100% of project fees will be donated to Stand With Crypto in connection with its work around the CLARITY Act.
For the crypto industry, this is a major legislative moment. Every participation counts, and every market participant has a role to play.
Everything public. Everything verifiable on-chain.
Standing commitments
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No allocation is held by any public official or government agency.
No person or entity has endorsed, sponsored or approved this token — Stand With Crypto included — and none has been asked to appear as though they have.
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No wallet connected to this project is hidden.
The dev address and the destination of fees will be published on this page, and every transfer between them can be followed on a block explorer. Any wallet not published here is not ours.
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The dev allocation and all project fees are committed to Stand With Crypto.
The 45.47% dev position is bought on the open market on the same terms as anyone else's, and both it and 100% of project fees are designated for Stand With Crypto in connection with its work on the CLARITY Act. The receiving address will be published here and every transfer will be verifiable on-chain.
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Every figure on this page is reproducible.
Nothing is asserted that a reader cannot independently verify from a block explorer or a public record.
The Clarity Project
H.R. 3633 · 119th Congress · MMXXVI
—— pending ——
Publishing entity
—— pending ——
Named signer
20 August 2026
Date of record
Article IV
What We Do Not Know
A project named Clarity is obliged to be clear about the limits of its own knowledge.
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01
Whether the bill will pass.
We have no non-public information, no contact with any legislator, staffer or agency, and no insight beyond the public record and the prediction markets shown above.
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02
When the Senate will schedule a vote.
14 September is the date the chamber reconvenes. It is not a scheduled vote date. No vote may occur in this session at all.
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03
What the final text will contain.
The bill may be amended substantially. Provisions material to digital-asset markets may be added or struck before any vote.
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04
Whether passage would move this token.
The relationship between legislative outcomes and the price of a memecoin is speculative. It may be inverse. It may be nil.
Disclosures
These are not boilerplate.
No government affiliation.
The Clarity Project is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by or connected to the United States Government, the Congress, the White House, the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or any officer, employee or agency thereof. References to H.R. 3633 are references to public legislation and are made for identification and commentary only.
No individual's endorsement is claimed.
No elected official, candidate, public figure or private individual has endorsed this project, holds an allocation in it, or has been contacted regarding it. Any future statement to the contrary would be false and should be reported.
Stand With Crypto has not endorsed this project.
It is named here as the intended recipient of the dev allocation and of project fees. Naming it is not a claim of affiliation, sponsorship or approval, and it has not been asked to provide any.
This is not an investment.
This token is not a security offering, an investment contract, a fund, a managed product or a claim on any asset, revenue or entity. It confers no ownership, no governance right, no dividend and no redemption right. It is not backed by anything.
Expect total loss.
Independent research on more than eighteen million tokens found that roughly 80% cease meaningful trading within twenty-four hours of launch and fewer than 5% survive ninety days. The median token retains approximately 5% of its peak market capitalisation. Purchase only funds you are fully prepared to lose in their entirety.
Nothing here is financial, legal or tax advice.
No statement on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset. Digital-asset treatment varies materially by jurisdiction and may be prohibited where you live. Consult your own advisers.
Forward-looking statements.
Statements regarding the CLARITY Act, legislative timing, or market conditions are opinion and estimate, not fact. Probability figures are sourced from third-party prediction markets and are neither guaranteed nor produced by us.
Verify independently.
Do not rely on this page. Every contract address, allocation and balance stated here can and should be confirmed directly on a public block explorer before you transact.